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Global Credits Update: Sentiment improves as tensions ease

Article update on August 11, 2026, 05:17 pm: Sovereign and corporate credits attracted buyers after weeks of subdued activity, but monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainties persist
August 11, 2026 by Metrobank, Dana Louise Geronimo
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(Editor's note: This article has been upadted to take out the release date of the US nonfarm payrolls report in the second paragraph.)

What happened last week
 

Credit markets posted a constructive week, supported by improving sentiment around renewed US-Iran dialogue and signs of progress toward alternative shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz.  

In sovereigns, spreads tightened early last week on opportunistic buying activity, following an initial drop in both oil prices and US Treasury yields. Indonesian sovereign and quasi-sovereigns, in particular, outperformed, as investors seemingly brushed aside concerns surrounding the resignation of the Bank Indonesia governor that weighed on sentiment the previous week. Trading remained active through midweek, supported by investors buying on price dips and favoring longer-term bonds, before turning more cautious ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls report. 

Corporate credits also performed well, with Asia investment grade (IG) spreads tightening. Investors returned to both high-grade and lower-rated investment-grade issuers, particularly medium-term bonds of financial institutions. Retail activity was healthy throughout the week, with continued demand for Philippine credits and select offshore issuers such as State Bank of India, LG Energy Solution, and a few other South Korean issuers. Credit spreads remained resilient despite volatility in rates and a softer global equities backdrop near the end of the week.  

Overall, sentiment improved meaningfully from recent weeks, with sovereign and corporate spreads ending modestly tighter amid stronger risk appetite and growing confidence in the credit market.  
 

Weekly Price Action

Category
2Y
Level as of Aug. 10
4.24%
Level as of Aug. 3
4.24%
Change
+0bps
Category
5Y
Level as of Aug. 10
4.41%
Level as of Aug. 3
4.39%
Change
+2bps
Category
10Y
Level as of Aug. 10
4.71%
Level as of Aug. 3
4.68%
Change
+3bps
Category
30Y
Level as of Aug. 10
5.25%
Level as of Aug. 3
5.23%
Change
+2bps

What we can expect
 

Looking ahead, market players will remain focused on the implications of the latest US labor market data and their effect on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy moving forward. Credit spreads may continue to find support from attractive yields, although geopolitical developments in the Middle East could still drive bouts of volatility.  

Against this backdrop, high-quality sovereign and investment-grade corporate credits may be favored, particularly within the front-to-belly segment of the curve or an average duration of 2 to 7 years—where risk-reward remains attractive. Investors looking for a more defensive approach may consider the shorter end of this range to mitigate exposure to interest rate risk.   

Top Picks 

Non-QIB Top Picks 

Category
ROP 28
Maturity
2/1/28
Coupon
3.000%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
1.48
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
4.333%
Price Offer
98.125
Category
KSA 29
Maturity
4/16/29
Coupon
4.375%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
2.68
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
4.775%
Price Offer
99.000
Category
ROP 4.625 31
Maturity
12/24/31
Coupon
4.625%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
5.37
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
4.892%
Price Offer
98.750
Category
BPIPM 5.625 35
Maturity
4/7/35
Coupon
5.625%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
8.66
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.459%
Price Offer
101.125
Category
ROP 5.325 36
Maturity
6/24/36
Coupon
5.325%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
9.88
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.507%
Price Offer
98.625

Note: Rates are indicative (as of August 11, 2026) and subject to refresh.

 QIB Top Picks

Category
PLNIJ 4.125 27
Maturity
5/15/27
Coupon
4.125%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
0.76
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
4.798%
Price Offer
99.500
Category
LGENSO 5.375 27
Maturity
7/2/27
Coupon
5.375%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
0.89
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
4.496%
Price Offer
100.750
Category
ORCL 4.8 28
Maturity
8/3/28
Coupon
4.800%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
1.98
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.069%
Price Offer
99.500
Category
MWCPM 4.375 30
Maturity
7/30/30
Coupon
4.375%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
3.97
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.107%
Price Offer
97.400
Category
SMPH 4.75 30
Maturity
9/16/30
Coupon
4.750%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
4.10
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.126%
Price Offer
98.625

Note: Rates are indicative (as of August 11, 2026) and subject to refresh.

For more information on foreign currency-denominated bonds, you may reach out to your Wealth Specialist or log in to Metrobank Wealth Manager.

(Disclaimer: This is general investment information only and does not constitute an offer or guarantee, with all investment decisions made at your own risk. The bank takes no responsibility for any potential losses.)

DANA LOUISE GERONIMO is an Investment Counselor at Metrobank under the Institutional Investors Coverage Division. She built her expertise through her previous roles as an Investment Specialist and as a Financial Markets Sector Management Trainee within the bank. Dana holds a Master’s degree in Industrial Economics from the University of Asia and the Pacific. Outside of work, she enjoys exploring different fitness centers and reading.