Rates & Bonds2 MIN READ

Global Credits Update: Higher rates pressure bond market 

Higher rates, firmer oil prices, and lingering macro uncertainty keep credit investors firmly in risk-off mode.
October 7, 2026 by Metrobank, Dana Louise Geronimo
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What happened last week (September 28 - October 2)  

 

Last week, Asia credit markets traded defensively as higher rates, elevated oil prices, and persistent macroeconomic uncertainty weighed on investor sentiment. Risk appetite remained subdued, resulting in broad-based spread widening across both corporate and sovereign credit sectors.  

Within Asia investment-grade (IG) corporates, spreads widened by approximately 6-12 basis points (bps) week-on-week (WoW), with longer-duration and lower-tier IG issuers underperforming. Despite the weaker tone, front-end, higher-quality credits remained relatively supported as some investors selectively added exposure at more attractive all-in yields.  

In the sovereign space, selling pressure intensified as investors reduced risk exposure amid ongoing market volatility. Philippine sovereign bonds (ROPs) saw spreads widen by 13-29 bps WoW, while Indonesian sovereign bonds widened by 6-19 bps WoW, with longer-dated maturities bearing the brunt of the move. Limited bottom-fishing emerged toward the latter part of the week but was insufficient to offset the broader risk-off environment.  

For Philippine corporate issuers, cash prices were broadly unchanged to 0.375 points lower WoW. Trading activity remained concentrated in select bank and utility names, while overall retail demand stayed soft as investors remained cautious about deploying fresh capital.  

 

Weekly Price Action  

Category
2Y
Level as of Oct. 05
4.79%
Level as of Sep. 28
4.93%
Change
-14bps
Category
5Y
Level as of Oct. 05
5.02%
Level as of Sep. 28
5.07%
Change
-5bps
Category
10Y
Level as of Oct. 05
5.25%
Level as of Sep. 28
5.24%
Change
+2bps
Category
30Y
Level as of Oct. 05
5.61%
Level as of Sep. 28
5.55%
Change
+7bps

What we can expect  

 

Looking ahead, investors may remain focused on inflation data, oil price developments, and evolving geopolitical risks, all of which could influence rates and the direction of credit markets. Given the current backdrop, a selective approach may be appropriate, with a preference for high-quality credits in the 1- to 5-year segment, where carry remains attractive and spread volatility is relatively more manageable.  

 

Top Picks
 

Non-QIB Top Picks  

Category
KSA 27EUR
Maturity
7/9/27
Coupon
0.750%
Currency
EUR
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
0.75
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
3.408%
Price Offer
98.050
Category
MEX 3.16 30JPY
Maturity
3/4/30
Coupon
3.160%
Currency
JPY
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
3.41
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
3.159%
Price Offer
100.000
Category
DEVPHI 2.375 31
Maturity
3/11/31
Coupon
2.375%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
4.43
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.631%
Price Offer
87.400
Category
ROP 31NEW
Maturity
6/10/31
Coupon
1.648%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
4.68
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.502%
Price Offer
84.250
Category
ROP 32NEW
Maturity
1/6/32
Coupon
1.950%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
5.25
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.654%
Price Offer
83.750

Note: Rates are indicative (as of October 6, 2026) and subject to refresh.  

 

QIB Top Picks

Category
PLNIJ 4.125 27
Maturity
5/15/27
Coupon
4.125%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
0.60
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.399%
Price Offer
99.250
Category
LGENSO 5.375 27
Maturity
7/2/27
Coupon
5.375%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
0.73
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.012%
Price Offer
100.250
Category
ORCL 4.8 28
Maturity
8/3/28
Coupon
4.800%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
1.82
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.704%
Price Offer
98.450
Category
SMPH 4.75 30
Maturity
9/16/30
Coupon
4.750%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
3.95
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.931%
Price Offer
95.900
Category
SBIIN 5.25 31
Maturity
8/18/31
Coupon
5.250%
Currency
USD
Terms to Maturity (in Years)
4.87
Offer Yield to Maturity (%)
5.938%
Price Offer
97.125

Note: Note: Rates are indicative (as of October 6, 2026) and subject to refresh

For more information on foreign currency denominated bonds, you may reach out to your Wealth Specialist or log in to Metrobank Wealth Manager.

(Disclaimer: This is general investment information only and does not constitute an offer or guarantee, with all investment decisions made at your own risk. The bank takes no responsibility for any potential losses.) 

DANA LOUISE GERONIMO is an Investment Counselor at Metrobank under the Markets Advisory Division. She built her expertise through her previous roles as an Investment Specialist and as a Financial Markets Sector Management Trainee within the bank. Dana holds a Master’s degree in Industrial Economics from the University of Asia and the Pacific. Outside of work, she enjoys exploring different fitness centers and reading.